{"id":6169,"date":"2020-09-28T11:04:54","date_gmt":"2020-09-28T10:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/?p=6169"},"modified":"2020-09-28T11:05:09","modified_gmt":"2020-09-28T10:05:09","slug":"twitter-user-claims-obasanjo-inherited-3bn-in-foreign-reserve-but-how-true-is-this","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/twitter-user-claims-obasanjo-inherited-3bn-in-foreign-reserve-but-how-true-is-this\/","title":{"rendered":"Twitter user claims Obasanjo inherited $3bn in foreign reserve but how true is this?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify has-cyan-bluish-gray-background-color has-background wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A twitter user, Chijioke, claimed that former President Olusegun Obasanjo inherited $3bn and left $54bn in foreign reserves when he left office.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-22.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify has-text-color has-background wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f41216;color:#fff9f9\"><strong>False. In 1999 when Obasanjo assumed office, Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve was US$5.65billion and US$51.91billion in 2007 when he left office.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>FULL TEXT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">A twitter user, Chijioke, claimed that former President Olusegun Obasanjo met&nbsp; $3 billion and left&nbsp; $54 billion in foreign reserve at the end of his eight years in office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">He tweeted on his handle, @Ekwulu, that \u201cOBJ has just stirred the hornet&#8217;s nest and the BMC will come for him. OBJ inherited a Pariah state courtesy of Abacha, foreign reserves of about $3 Billion, oil price of between $10-$11, then Billions of dollars in debt. He paid off our debts and left about $US54 Billion in reserves.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">This comment is only one of many debates and opinions on social media triggered by President Obasanjo after saying&nbsp; that the country has never been in such a bad state. In a <a href=\"https:\/\/punchng.com\/nigeria-becoming-a-failed-state-divided-under-buhari-obasanjo\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a> by the Punch Newspaper, the former President said this in Abuja at a consultative dialogue attended by various socio-cultural groups including Afenifere, Middle Belt Forum, Northern Elders Forum, Ohanaeze Ndi Igbo and Pan Niger Delta Forum,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c<em>I do appreciate that you all feel sad and embarrassed as most of us feel as Nigerians with the situation we find ourselves in. Today, Nigeria is fast drifting to a failed and badly divided state; economically our country is becoming a basket case and poverty capital of the world, and socially, we are firming up as an unwholesome and insecure country,<\/em>\u201d he was quoted as saying.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">This twitter handle has a following of 13, 200, and the engagements on this tweet continue to rise. So far, it stands at almost 400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh4.googleusercontent.com\/XnAI6I0d28d_49Xh6cy34gfj6bCw_W9QGucKxl8pJuTS0O4AYW_39nvfaFfOSo2yQyCOeYXuI01aMFVU4mIjXcbJrDH-KNhjE0poNuTJwdHDtYqObSn5Yj9CVt-m1h9aNRSXOeXf\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption>Culled from Twitter.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What are Foreign Exchange Reserves?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) defines <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbn.gov.ng\/IntOps\/ReserveMgmt.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Foreign exchange reserves<\/a> as assets held on reserve by a monetary authority, like the CBN, in foreign currencies. These reserves back liabilities and influence monetary policy. They include foreign banknotes, deposits, bonds, treasury bills and other foreign government securities. These assets serve many purposes but most significantly they ensure that a government or its agency has backup funds if their national currency rapidly devalues or to pay for imports by way of letter of credit. Foreign exchange reserves are also called international or external reserves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Do all countries hold foriegn reserves in the same capacity?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">No. The capacity for holding foreign reserves, known as foreign reserve behaviour, differs across countries. For instance, developing countries hold more reserves than in developed countries. Before the 1990s developing countries could hold enough reserves to equal at least three months of imports.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">This practice was replaced by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/external\/pubs\/ft\/wp\/2006\/wp06229.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Guidotti-Greenspan rule<\/a> after the emerging market crisis of the 1990s. The <a href=\"https:\/\/eml.berkeley.edu\/\/~obstfeld\/OSTreserves.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Guidotti<\/a> rule pertains to reserve adequacy metric that determines that developing countries should hold enough reserves to cover all foreign short-term debt or those within one-year maturity. It served as a precautionary measure, to self-ensure against the effects of future crises such as massive withdrawals of short-term foreign capital.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>VERIFICATION<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">The official website of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbn.gov.ng\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Central Bank of Nigeria<\/a> is the accessible monetary data bank and referral for information on the country\u2019s financial system. This data bank serves the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other financial-economic publications.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">Dubawa gathered information from this website as well as graphical representations on other financial publications such as <a href=\"http:\/\/databod.com\/nigeria-external-reserves-1999-till-date\/#:~:text=As%20at%20May%201999%20when,%2423.69%20in%20in%20October%202016.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DataBod<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobaleconomy.com\/Nigeria\/reserves\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The Global Economy.com&nbsp;<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/BFvxQaFoausBOvBFx9pmUuu-VGw1AaCE7xfyRfFw9pZJvMZZGlWbJRReA9di3aIep7dy6q_o72YCKiOS5DdUHX5cEqB8LGEuc9WuzVJe6ZoOXRxAQaFmboXUKIL7KzEt34AkFGbC\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><figcaption>Image: DataBod, Nigeria\u2019s External Reserves monthly updates.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">Nigeria&#8217;s external reserves are largely from the proceeds of production and sales of crude oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">In 1999 at the beginning of the current democratic dispensation under President Olusegun Obasanjo, Nigeria\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbn.gov.ng\/out\/2014\/sd\/time%20series%20modeling%20of%20nigeria%20external%20reserves.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">foreign reserve<\/a> stood at US$5,649,775 (approx. 5.65billion) by the end of his government by 2007 the reserve stood at US$51.907,040,000 9 (approx. 51.91billion).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">By 2008, Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve hit peak growth at US$62.40 billion becoming the twenty-fourth largest reserves holder in the world. Algeria was the country with the highest reserves in Africa, according to a paper in the CBN Journal of Applied Statistics; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.econstor.eu\/bitstream\/10419\/142051\/1\/cbn-jas_v2-i2-pp063-082.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Determinants of foreign reserves in Nigeria: An autoregressive distributed lag approach<\/a>. Other important holders between 2006-2008 were Libya, Morocco, Egypt and South Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh4.googleusercontent.com\/5Ps_-8ITygK9JwWDjKiqO8l2FzOZAzHmpFbVO-FX6q8oEBPb1_z7ZX3DNCaGyrVMknzwdjHOXwg9yEGcGNwd4_KCXEa9ki7By9aAINlTP-whGFlWX5b2voKiIg65h0am2xWIR0fY\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">Here is a tabular representation of the data on Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve from 1999 &#8211; 2007 by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.indexmundi.com\/facts\/nigeria\/total-reserves\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">IndexMundi<\/a>, a data portal gathering facts and statistics from multiple sources and turning them into easy to use visuals.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1999-2007 Foreign reserve:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>1999<\/td><td>$5,649,725,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2000<\/td><td>$10,099,450,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2001<\/td><td>$10,646,600,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2002<\/td><td>$7,566,806,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2003<\/td><td>$7,415,088,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2004<\/td><td>$17,256,540,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2005<\/td><td>$28,632,050,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2006<\/td><td>$42,735,470,000<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2007<\/td><td>$51,907,040,000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">Also, in 1999 the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrotrends.net\/1369\/crude-oil-price-history-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">price<\/a> of crude oil fluctuated continually. According to data compiled by Macrotrends, a research platform for long-term investments, crude oil cost in January 1999 US$20.17 and by September 1999 the reserve had risen to US$37.94.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>CONCLUSION<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\">The claim that President Obasanjo inherited US$3bn in foreign reserves is false.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>The researcher produced this fact-check per the Dubawa 2020 Fellowship partnership with <a href=\"https:\/\/newswirengr.com\/2020\/09\/25\/fact-check-did-obasanjo-really-inherit-3-billion-in-foreign-reserves\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NewsWireNGR<\/a> to facilitate the ethos of \u201ctruth\u201d in journalism and enhance media literacy in the country.&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A twitter user, Chijioke, claimed that former President Olusegun Obasanjo inherited $3bn and left $54bn in foreign reserves when he left office. False. In 1999 when Obasanjo assumed office, Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve was US$5.65billion and US$51.91billion in 2007 when he left office.&nbsp; FULL TEXT A twitter user, Chijioke, claimed that former President Olusegun Obasanjo met&nbsp; $3 billion and left&nbsp; $54 billion in foreign reserve at the end of his eight years in office. He tweeted on his handle, @Ekwulu, that \u201cOBJ has just stirred the hornet&#8217;s nest and the BMC will come for him. OBJ inherited a Pariah state courtesy of Abacha, foreign reserves of about $3 Billion, oil price of between $10-$11, then Billions of dollars in debt. He paid off our debts and left about $US54 Billion in reserves.\u201d This comment is only one of many debates and opinions on social media triggered by President Obasanjo after saying&nbsp; that the country has never been in such a bad state. In a report by the Punch Newspaper, the former President said this in Abuja at a consultative dialogue attended by various socio-cultural groups including Afenifere, Middle Belt Forum, Northern Elders Forum, Ohanaeze Ndi Igbo and Pan Niger Delta Forum, \u201cI do appreciate that you all feel sad and embarrassed as most of us feel as Nigerians with the situation we find ourselves in. Today, Nigeria is fast drifting to a failed and badly divided state; economically our country is becoming a basket case and poverty capital of the world, and socially, we are firming up as an unwholesome and insecure country,\u201d he was quoted as saying. This twitter handle has a following of 13, 200, and the engagements on this tweet continue to rise. So far, it stands at almost 400. What are Foreign Exchange Reserves? The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) defines Foreign exchange reserves as assets held on reserve by a monetary authority, like the CBN, in foreign currencies. These reserves back liabilities and influence monetary policy. They include foreign banknotes, deposits, bonds, treasury bills and other foreign government securities. These assets serve many purposes but most significantly they ensure that a government or its agency has backup funds if their national currency rapidly devalues or to pay for imports by way of letter of credit. Foreign exchange reserves are also called international or external reserves. Do all countries hold foriegn reserves in the same capacity?&nbsp; No. The capacity for holding foreign reserves, known as foreign reserve behaviour, differs across countries. For instance, developing countries hold more reserves than in developed countries. Before the 1990s developing countries could hold enough reserves to equal at least three months of imports.&nbsp; This practice was replaced by the Guidotti-Greenspan rule after the emerging market crisis of the 1990s. The Guidotti rule pertains to reserve adequacy metric that determines that developing countries should hold enough reserves to cover all foreign short-term debt or those within one-year maturity. It served as a precautionary measure, to self-ensure against the effects of future crises such as massive withdrawals of short-term foreign capital.&nbsp; VERIFICATION The official website of the Central Bank of Nigeria is the accessible monetary data bank and referral for information on the country\u2019s financial system. This data bank serves the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other financial-economic publications.&nbsp; Dubawa gathered information from this website as well as graphical representations on other financial publications such as DataBod, The Global Economy.com&nbsp; Nigeria&#8217;s external reserves are largely from the proceeds of production and sales of crude oil. In 1999 at the beginning of the current democratic dispensation under President Olusegun Obasanjo, Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve stood at US$5,649,775 (approx. 5.65billion) by the end of his government by 2007 the reserve stood at US$51.907,040,000 9 (approx. 51.91billion).&nbsp; By 2008, Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve hit peak growth at US$62.40 billion becoming the twenty-fourth largest reserves holder in the world. Algeria was the country with the highest reserves in Africa, according to a paper in the CBN Journal of Applied Statistics; Determinants of foreign reserves in Nigeria: An autoregressive distributed lag approach. Other important holders between 2006-2008 were Libya, Morocco, Egypt and South Africa. Here is a tabular representation of the data on Nigeria\u2019s foreign reserve from 1999 &#8211; 2007 by IndexMundi, a data portal gathering facts and statistics from multiple sources and turning them into easy to use visuals.&nbsp; 1999-2007 Foreign reserve: 1999 $5,649,725,000 2000 $10,099,450,000 2001 $10,646,600,000 2002 $7,566,806,000 2003 $7,415,088,000 2004 $17,256,540,000 2005 $28,632,050,000 2006 $42,735,470,000 2007 $51,907,040,000 Also, in 1999 the price of crude oil fluctuated continually. According to data compiled by Macrotrends, a research platform for long-term investments, crude oil cost in January 1999 US$20.17 and by September 1999 the reserve had risen to US$37.94.&nbsp; CONCLUSION The claim that President Obasanjo inherited US$3bn in foreign reserves is false.&nbsp; The researcher produced this fact-check per the Dubawa 2020 Fellowship partnership with NewsWireNGR to facilitate the ethos of \u201ctruth\u201d in journalism and enhance media literacy in the country.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"hannibal_claim_source":"","hannibal_source_label":"","hannibal_card_color":"blue","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_bluesky_share_type":"","_mastodon_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[210,120,123,16],"tags":[196,115,204,1451,932],"verdict":[],"ppma_author":[1254],"class_list":["post-6169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","category-economy","category-mainstream","category-politics","tag-cbn","tag-fact-check","tag-fake-news","tag-foreign-reserve","tag-olusegun-obasanjo"],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8R6dE-1Bv","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"authors":[{"term_id":1254,"user_id":0,"is_guest":1,"slug":"nelly-kalu","display_name":"Nelly Kalu","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/13faf2ad3765c6901928fe5a258aac77b5245e3feba0abe3129fe6b6b3201499?s=96&r=g","author_category":"","user_url":"","last_name":"Kalu","first_name":"Nelly","job_title":"","description":""}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Obasanjo-1-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6169\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6169"},{"taxonomy":"verdict","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/verdict?post=6169"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=6169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}