{"id":634,"date":"2017-10-20T15:23:06","date_gmt":"2017-10-20T14:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/?p=634"},"modified":"2019-08-26T17:40:28","modified_gmt":"2019-08-26T16:40:28","slug":"presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer\/","title":{"rendered":"Presidency wrong again; Nigeria not world\u2019s second-largest rice producer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nigeria is not the world\u2019s second-largest producer of rice as recently claimed by the Buhari administration.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>By Samuel Ogundipe<\/p>\n<p>Presidential spokesperson, Garba Shehu, made the claim on February 18 while addressing university students in Abuja.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs I speak to you now, Nigeria just achieved the record of the second largest producer of rice in the world. The rice revolution just started a year ago,\u201d Mr. Shehu, senior special assistant on media to President Muhammadu Buhari was quoted by The Cable as saying.<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Shehu later defended his claim on Twitter, and cited<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thecable.ng\/garba-shehu-many-believe-boko-haram-taken-aso-rock-pdp-remained-power\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> CNN as his source.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Coming at a time of severe economic crisis, the comment appeared aimed at reassuring an increasingly disenchanted public.<\/p>\n<p>But that claim is entirely false, as Nigeria is not even amongst the world\u2019s top 10 producers of rice, a PREMIUM TIMES examination shows.<\/p>\n<p>In November 2016, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.vanguardngr.com\/2016\/11\/nigeria-produces-3-5m-tonnes-rice-needs-7m-tonnes-ogbeh\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Minister of Agriculture, Audu Ogbeh<\/a>, said Nigeria\u2019s rice production level stood at 3.5 million metric tonnes, while the country\u2019s consumption stood at seven million metric tons.<\/p>\n<p>In calculating Nigeria\u2019s production output, PREMIUM TIMES will rely on statistics from the Food and Agriculture Organisation, an agency of the United Nations that tackles hunger around the world.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, PREMIUM TIMES obtained an unpublished data for rice production from the National Bureau of Statistics.<\/p>\n<p>This assessment will also rely on data provided by the United States Department of Agriculture, which tracks rice production outputs across the world. The USDA ranking is updated monthly.<\/p>\n<p><b>Global data<\/b><\/p>\n<p>In its 2016 estimates, the<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/fileadmin\/templates\/est\/COMM_MARKETS_MONITORING\/Rice\/Images\/RMM\/RMM_APR16.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Food and Agriculture Organisation projected that Nigeria will produce 2.9 million metric tonnes<\/a>, which it described as being \u201cup slightly\u201d from 2015 figures.<\/p>\n<p>The FAO data from 2015 showed that Nigeria produced 4.8 million metric tonnes of rice paddy. This placed Nigeria at number 17 in the top 20 producers\u2019 ranking.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_636\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-636\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"636\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer\/rice-fact-sheet\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-Fact-Sheet.jpg?fit=600%2C938&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"600,938\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"Rice Fact Sheet\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Rice Value-Chain Fact Sheet&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-Fact-Sheet.jpg?fit=600%2C938&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-636\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-Fact-Sheet.jpg?resize=600%2C938\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"938\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-Fact-Sheet.jpg?w=600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-Fact-Sheet.jpg?resize=192%2C300&amp;ssl=1 192w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-636\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rice Value-Chain Fact Sheet<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The NBS data exclusively seen by this newspaper showed that Nigeria produced 7.8 million metric tonnes of rice paddy in 2016, up slightly from 7.5 million in 2015.<\/p>\n<p>The 2016 data produced by the USDA <a href=\"http:\/\/www.indexmundi.com\/agriculture\/?commodity=milled-rice&amp;graph=production\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ranks 78 countries<\/a>, according to IndexMundi, a website that collates, ranks and republishes statistical data from original sources.<\/p>\n<p>Nigeria is missing from the list\u2019s top 10 rice-producing countries of 2016. This category has China, with 146.5 million metric tonnes, at the top, and Japan \u2014with estimated 7.8 million metric tonnes\u2014 at the bottom.<\/p>\n<p>The second position is occupied by India, which produced 106. 5 million metric tonnes that year. Other Asian countries that dominate the list include Indonesia: 36.6 million; Bangladesh: 34,5 million; Vietnam: 27.8 million; Thailand: 18,6 million; Myanmar: 12.5 million and the Philippines: 12.5 million.<\/p>\n<p>Brazil, at number nine, is the only country outside Asia in the top 10 rice producing countries.<\/p>\n<p>On this list, Nigeria stands at number 18, with a production output of 2.7 million metric tonnes for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Although this is lower, the bureau of statistics figure\u20147.8 million metric tonnes \u2013 is still a far cry from what is needed to surpass the Asian countries.<\/p>\n<p>Even where the 7.8 million metric tonnes is used for this ranking, Nigeria would at best rank 10th.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_635\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-635\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"635\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer\/milled-rice-production\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Milled-rice-production.jpg?fit=600%2C299&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"600,299\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"Milled rice production\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;USDA graph for Nigeria\u2019s milled rice output&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Milled-rice-production.jpg?fit=600%2C299&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-635\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Milled-rice-production.jpg?resize=600%2C299\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"299\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Milled-rice-production.jpg?w=600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Milled-rice-production.jpg?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-635\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">USDA graph for Nigeria\u2019s milled rice output<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Mr. Shehu did not respond to PREMIUM TIMES\u2019 request for clarification. But he said on Twitter on Monday that he <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GarShehu\/status\/833743911369703426\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">based his assertion on a report by CNN.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>To buttress his point, Mr. Shehu said Nigeria had recently become a major exporter of grains to other African countries.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDon\u2019t forget that since October last year, Nigeria has been feeding many parts of West Africa, North and Central Africa,\u201d Mr. Shehu said. \u201cMany of these countries have been shopping in Nigeria for rice, sorghum, sesame and millet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He said the government had started collating figures to establish Nigeria\u2019s rice production output and will make its conclusion public.<\/p>\n<p>It is not clear whether the figure he was referring to is the NBS\u2019 7.8 million metric tonnes PREMIUM TIMES obtained.<\/p>\n<p><b>Nigerians react<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Mr. Shehu\u2019s claim was roundly rejected on social media, with many users pointing at the irony of Nigerians paying more for a product that should be abundantly available.<\/p>\n<p>From a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.vanguardngr.com\/2014\/11\/rice-hits-n10000-per-50kg-bag-lagos-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">maximum N10,000<\/a> barely three years ago, a 50 kilogram bag of rice now sells for above N20,000 across the country, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/rice.com.ng\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rice.com.ng<\/a>. Only in January 2016, <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20160117150343\/http:\/rice.com.ng\/index.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the rice retailer sold the same quantity for N12,500 or less<\/a> across the country.<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jumia.com.ng\/grocery-rice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jumia<\/a>, a 50 kilogram bag of rice retails for as high as N25,000.<\/p>\n<p>Richard-Mark Mbaram, an agricultural economics expert, said Mr. Shehu\u2019s \u201cclaim cannot be substantiated in actual fact.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Mbaram, editor of Agro Nigeria, an online-based platform with primary focus on activities in the agricultural sector, also agreed that Nigeria is yet to meet its consumption demands.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re not even producing enough to feed ourselves,\u201d Mr. Mbaram said. \u201cSaying we\u2019re number two is dangerous as it could make those tasked with addressing the challenges become complacent.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He said the focus should be on improving Nigeria\u2019s average output per hectare rather than making \u201cclaims that will only distract us from addressing challenges in the agricultural sector.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For example, Mr. Mbaram said budget estimates for agriculture stood at N92 billion, an amount he said could not even fund research in other climes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re saying we want to diversify from oil because its prices are dwindling, yet we budgeted N92 billion for agriculture which is the sector that everybody agrees the focus must shift to,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_639\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-639\" style=\"width: 768px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"639\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer\/cnn-screen-social-media-screengrab-photo-credit-twitter\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/CNN-Screen-Social-media-screengrab-Photo-credit-Twitter.jpg?fit=768%2C416&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"768,416\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"CNN Screenshot\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Social media screen grab: [Photo credit Twitter]&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/CNN-Screen-Social-media-screengrab-Photo-credit-Twitter.jpg?fit=768%2C416&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-639\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/CNN-Screen-Social-media-screengrab-Photo-credit-Twitter.jpg?resize=768%2C416\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"416\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/CNN-Screen-Social-media-screengrab-Photo-credit-Twitter.jpg?w=768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/CNN-Screen-Social-media-screengrab-Photo-credit-Twitter.jpg?resize=300%2C163&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-639\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Social media screen grab: [Photo credit Twitter]<\/figcaption><\/figure>Social media users also circulated a screengrab that depicted the CNN broadcast Mr. Shehu was probably alluding to. In the broadcast, the station showed Nigeria\u2019s production output at 2.7 million metric tonnes; consumption placed at five million metric tonnes; import stood at two million. The data was also sourced from USDA\/IndexMundi.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.indexmundi.com\/agriculture\/?commodity=milled-rice&amp;graph=imports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USDA\/IndexMundi ranking showed Nigeria as the second-largest importer of rice in the world<\/a>. In 2016, the country imported two million metric tonnes, behind China at five million metric tonnes.<\/p>\n<p>It is also unclear whether the presidential spokesperson mistook Nigeria\u2019s import ranking for production output.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_638\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-638\" style=\"width: 615px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"638\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/dubawa.org\/dir\/presidency-wrong-nigeria-not-worlds-second-largest-rice-producer\/rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate.png?fit=615%2C567&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"615,567\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"Rice imported in 2016\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Rice imported in 2016 (estimate)&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate.png?fit=615%2C567&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-638\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate.png?resize=615%2C567\" alt=\"\" width=\"615\" height=\"567\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate.png?w=615&amp;ssl=1 615w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dubawa.org\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Rice-imported-in-2016-estimate-rice-imported-in-2016-estimate.png?resize=300%2C277&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 615px) 100vw, 615px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-638\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rice imported in 2016 (estimate)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Conclusion:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mr. Shehu said: \u201cNigeria just achieved the record of the second largest producer of rice in the world.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Available figures show this claim to be incorrect.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nigeria is not the world\u2019s second-largest producer of rice as recently claimed by the Buhari 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